Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.450553 0.533223 0.625393 0.735572 0.863489 1.007106 1.180355
2024-12-22 0.313279 0.415506 0.541641 0.707898 0.920363 1.181787 1.526717
2024-12-29 0.251905 0.363806 0.512648 0.723371 1.011971 1.391004 1.923675
2025-01-05 0.210277 0.326139 0.490186 0.736518 1.093470 1.587600 2.317957
2025-01-12 0.174593 0.288703 0.459534 0.729769 1.141224 1.737467 2.657995
2025-01-19 0.148266 0.259898 0.435676 0.727068 1.190753 1.890463 3.012936
2025-01-26 0.133620 0.246774 0.433142 0.755148 1.287790 2.120460 3.501382
2025-02-02 0.130739 0.252633 0.461341 0.834986 1.473812 2.502855 4.258018
2025-02-09 0.119741 0.242220 0.460286 0.864822 1.579599 2.765684 4.845488
2025-02-16 0.104421 0.221278 0.437715 0.853849 1.613704 2.912369 5.252875
2025-02-23 0.089044 0.197664 0.406908 0.823699 1.609788 2.992685 5.552508
2025-03-02 0.075139 0.174675 0.374021 0.785163 1.585546 3.033778 5.784932
2025-03-09 0.070466 0.170755 0.378727 0.821169 1.707005 3.350163 6.543547
2025-03-16 0.060226 0.152989 0.353075 0.793855 1.704526 3.441139 6.902589
2025-03-23 0.055282 0.146357 0.349672 0.811346 1.791438 3.705455 7.604128
2025-03-30 0.050683 0.139728 0.345285 0.825991 1.873616 3.966941 8.320468
2025-04-06 0.045079 0.129607 0.331606 0.818488 1.908433 4.137745 8.873041
2025-04-13 0.040466 0.121177 0.320612 0.815484 1.952133 4.329268 9.480897
2025-04-20 0.038348 0.119023 0.324288 0.846706 2.073696 4.689663 10.457922
2025-04-27 0.039424 0.125877 0.350984 0.935430 2.332298 5.355573 12.112505
2025-05-04 0.037449 0.123713 0.354625 0.968569 2.466761 5.767699 13.263952
2025-05-11 0.033550 0.115194 0.340665 0.956382 2.494287 5.950862 13.941349
2025-05-18 0.029219 0.104507 0.319387 0.922891 2.467451 6.011795 14.357992